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March 1, 2025

Special Edition: March Madness Strategy

Special Edition: March Madness Strategy

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Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days. Overnight show picks games against the spread, afternoon show focuses on player prop bets.

Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units

Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.

Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor.

Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.

Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.

Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.

Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

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